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Comments
Wat?
A slim chance was better than no chance, and I don't see you offering a better option, or better rationale.
Now we have a bandwagon - and among said bandwagon, we will likely have our remaining scum. I fail to see how this was not productive for us.
i am rapture coder
Nothing is going to get better. It's not.”
― Dr. Seuss, The Lorax
You expect to get a citizen with the first lynch, but there is a ton of information to be gained by doing it. No lynch may save a single citizen in the short term, but often times the right strategy is a short term sacrifice for long term results.
Citizens are going to die. This is not a game where everyone gets to live, or where we get absolute information about every possible aspect. That is, more or less, the entire point of Mafia. We have to make the best decisions we can based on the information in front of us, while using that process to generate more information. The early rounds are for generating a framework - a context. If we get lucky during them, fine, but right now, we're forming patterns. Looking at common bandwagons, common voting orders. In most games, this is sufficient to find our scum. That is, until further notice, the plan we are following. We can afford a long game right now, especially since we still have one of my mind bullets in reserve.
That is why I do not approve of nolynches. It makes the game easier for scum. In the last game, where I was one of the scum, I was laughing up my sleeve at everyone who held off on lynching. It let me steer the game and lynch townie after townie, and it very nearly let my side win. If I had held out for a couple of rounds longer, or if we had been lucky enough to kill Aldric before he used his two vigilante shots, it could very easily have been a scum win.
Take it from me - scum like an easily steered game, and they like people who listen blindly and follow along. It makes it easier for them to hide, easier for them to pit us against each other. So don't just vote a no lynch, don't just blindly jump on trains, even if they're my trains. This next round, I would encourage you all to thoroughly and critically examine everything. We may still lynch a citizen. On pure random numbers, this is in fact likely - but you know what? At the point where it becomes more likely that we'll lynch scum, they'll have already won the game. Our odds, based on pure random numbers, are always going to be less than 50%.
That's why we need information. That's why we need to be diligent. That's why we need to use every single advantage we have, and our biggest one, right now, is our factional lynch.
i am rapture coder
We can exclude myself. During the night round, the Bahkatu and Ascendril have contacted me; for obvious reasons, I am not going to reveal their names, but that removes two more players from the count, reducing us to a count of thirteen players and raising our practical odds of finding scum to 30%. Almost 1/3rd of a chance.
In this list of remaining players, we have the following names:
i am rapture coder
i am rapture coder
VOTE: Periluna
I'm not sold on Llok being town either, if he really played a lot of mafia, as he claims, he really should know better than argue for nolynch in round 1.
YOU KILLED YOUR OWN. You're no better than scum to me
Ever watched hot fuzz? See where your sacrifices lead you for your 'greater good'
The odds of the Polemarch selecting Draiman as a scum to frame is 1 in 5 - 20%. Recall that the Polemarch can always frame themselves.
The odds of the bear sniffing out Draiman was, last night, one in sixteen; recall that the bear knows themselves to be innocent. That's a 6.25% chance of selecting any one citizen. The chances of intersection, on a first round, are 1.25%.
I'm willing to gamble on that.
i am rapture coder